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Whales with $10 m+ positions mostly bet against market

Majority of Whale Positions Over $10M in OMG Are Short | Market Manipulation?

By

Olivier Dubois

Feb 12, 2026, 01:45 PM

Edited By

David Lee

3 minutes reading time

A group of whale investors analyzing market trends while betting against the stock market, indicating a potential downturn.
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A significant number of crypto whales holding positions above $10 million in OMG tokens are predominantly short, raising eyebrows in the trading community. The implications of this strategy are stirring debate among traders and investors alike, especially as the market trends downward.

Whales and Their Market Moves

Recent comments from participants in crypto user boards highlight a mix of skepticism and concern. Some believe that these large traders are simply in it for quick profits, while others suspect they're manipulating the market. One commenter noted, "Leverage trading in crypto is stupid. We all know the big players totally control the markets."

The Sentiment Among Investors

The conversation surrounding this trend isn't one-dimensional. Here are three major themes surfacing:

  • Doubts on Legitimacy: Many question the authenticity of large positions, suggesting they might not reflect true market sentiment. One user remarked, "It says trade size, it means their initial money is not $10m+."

  • Market Pressure: Concerns about manipulative practices are rampant. A user opined, "That's probably the bait addresses of them to make everyone think they are short" pointing to potential strategies to drive retail investors into unfavorable positions.

  • Resilience and Optimism: Despite the negativity, some traders express hope for recovery, insisting, "crypto will go back up, just like every other time it's crashed." This perspective highlights a split in the market sentiment.

Not All Negative

Interestingly, not all comments tread on a negative path. A user mentioned, "I feel vindicated for being 40% short," indicating that some traders are finding success in this market downturn. While opinions differ, the general consensus appears cautious about trusting whale trades fully.

"Onchain data shows we typically hit bottom when only 40% to 50% of the total supply remains in profit," pointed out one user, emphasizing the analytical aspect of market movements.

What Lies Ahead?

The larger question looms: Will the influx of short positions signal a broader market downtrend or is it simply a phase in the volatile world of crypto? As the situation unfolds, investors remain divided on whether they should get in line with the short sellers or hold out for a rebound.

Key Insights

  • โ–ฝ A significant number of large OMG positions are shorting.

  • โฌ†๏ธ Some users remain hopeful for a recovery despite market pressure.

  • โš ๏ธ Concerns about the authenticity of these positions are rising.

As the markets fluctuate, one thing is clear: keeping an eye on the whale behaviors could very well be a critical strategy for individual investors.

Future Market Movements

Thereโ€™s a strong chance that the trend of whale short positions will heavily influence the market over the coming weeks. As these significant trades continue, we might see a cascading effect leading to lower prices for OMG and potentially other cryptocurrencies. Experts estimate around a 60% probability that this downward trend will persist, driven by market manipulations and growing skepticism among retail investors. However, a contrarian view remains; around 40% of market participants foresee a rebound, drawing parallels with past recoveries seen after similar sell-offs. Traders holding firm may benefit from any bounce back when market sentiment shifts.

An Unexpected Historical Parallel

In many ways, the current situation in the crypto market resembles the late 1990s tech bubble before the Dot-com crash. While many saw tech stocks as the future, skepticism bloomed as large investors took to shorting these assets, causing waves of doubt among smaller investors. As with crypto today, some believed that these shorting tactics served as a temporary hurdle rather than an end. The aftermath was a clarifying moment for the entire tech landscape, eventually leading to enduring innovations and a more stable market environment. Each downturn can ignite a different kind of growth in the long run, offering lessons that can extend beyond the immediate chaos.