Crypto Veteran Shares Bold Strategy | Hold BTC, Not Alts
Edited By
Emma Zhang
A seasoned investor reveals insights from his tumultuous crypto journey, emphasizing a solid stance on Bitcoin (BTC) amid market fluctuations. Sharing hard-earned lessons, he offers predictions for 2026 that aim to guide fellow investors.
Since entering the crypto world in 2017, this veteran has faced devastating losses, notably during the FTX and Luna collapses. "I lost everything," he admitted, cementing his shift to a BTC-focused strategy. After betting on BTC in 2022 at $15k and selling at nearly $107k, he reflects, "Never made back my 2021 paper gains, but still"
A Cautious Yet Optimistic Outlook
The veteran suggests that BTC can drop as much as 80% in price, a reality he's experienced before. He insists, "The 4-year cycle has not disproven itself yet." Currently, he is invested in safe treasury bonds and predicts that by late 2026, BTC could hit a bottom around $40k-$55k.
Holding Strategy Post-Halving
His strategy involves waiting 13-14 months after the next halving to sell BTC. He stated, "I 100% got the bottom in 2022 and missed the top by not much, tbh." Many comments echo a similar sentiment: "I play the same game," highlighting a shared strategy among some investors.
The reaction from fellow investors shows a mix of caution and skepticism. One commenter remarked, "everyone thinks a bear market is coming," suggesting a contrarian approach may be needed. Another chimed in, asserting, "people who try to time markets don't have that much of a bag."
Key Takeaways
💹 BTC Focus Only: The veteran stresses to hold only BTC, dismissing the idea of investing in altcoins after recent losses.
📉 Potential Price Drops: Significant downturns (75-85%) for BTC are deemed likely, in line with historical performance.
🔮 Future Predictions: Expected price bottoming around $40-$55k by November-December 2026, with potential selling post-halving.
As sentiment around the crypto space remains mixed, many investors grapple with their strategies. This veteran’s clear approach may resonate with those still holding out in these turbulent times.
Forecasting the Crypto Shift
As we look ahead, there’s a strong chance that Bitcoin's price could experience significant volatility, with experts estimating an 80% drop as a possibility. This aligns with historical trends where crypto markets have faced steep downturns. By late 2026, predictions suggest BTC might settle between $40,000 and $55,000, as many are becoming increasingly cautious in light of past collapses. With cautious strategies emerging among seasoned investors, the focus remains squarely on Bitcoin, potentially setting a precedent where BTC becomes the sole focus for those wanting to mitigate risks in a turbulent market.
A Lesson from the Great Recession
The recent shifts in the crypto landscape echo the aftermath of the Great Recession of 2008, when many turned away from riskier assets in a bid for safety and stability. Just as homeowners learned the hard way about leveraging their investments, current crypto investors are now grappling with the realities of market cycles. This transition isn't merely about the asset class but reflects a deeper understanding of financial resilience. Just as homeowners prioritized paying down their mortgages during economic uncertainty, crypto enthusiasts may lean towards consolidating their holdings, learning to weather the storm instead of seizing every fleeting opportunity.