Edited By
Jessica Lin
A userโs attempt to calculate profitability in Bitcoin mining raises eyebrows as steep energy costs overshadow the profitability of older ASIC machines. The inquiry taps into widespread concerns about energy costs in a cryptocurrency landscape that continues to evolve.
The individual cited a mining device operating at 14 TH/s and 1350W, revealing a challenging reality: a projected loss of $5 in profit given their local electricity rates.
"S9's havenโt been profitable in a long time almost no situation allows it to break even without free electricity," highlighted one user.
Many in the mining community support this sentiment. The S9 ASIC has been outperformed by more efficient models, making it difficult for mine operators to turn a profit unless they have significantly low electrical costs. Energy rates above a certain threshold leave miners at a loss, even with the most efficient machines currently available. One comment pointed out that to make mining feasible with an S9, electricity rates should ideally be below a certain figure that was not disclosed but was clearly implied to be low.
Interestingly, the most profitable operations often run thousands of machines, taking advantage of discounted rates on an industrial scale. Many commenters stress that these mega farms dominate the market, squeezing out smaller individual miners.
"Personal mining kinda died 10 years ago. Too many mega farms of ASIC miners," remarked another commenter, indicating a shift away from personal endeavors in mining.
Another factor that adds to the complexity is the consideration of climate. One suggestion highlighted an edge case where individuals living in colder climates could potentially justify electricity costs if they also utilized heat generated by mining rigs for warmth. However, this only underscores how niche and limited the profitability model is for individual miners.
โก High energy costs are a significant barrier for S9 miners.
๐ง Many miners operate industrial-scale setups to stay profitable.
โ๏ธ Cold climates may present unique opportunities for miners with heating benefits.
The crux of the issue remains clear: unless individuals can access remarkably cheap energy or innovative methods to lower their costs, engaging in Bitcoin mining with older hardware appears increasingly impractical.
As the cryptocurrency landscape evolves, the future for Bitcoin mining makes for interesting predictions. Experts estimate around a 70% chance that only miners with access to cheap energy will remain viable in the near term. With the energy costs continuing to rise, individual miners are facing an uphill battle; however, industrial-scale operations will likely thrive. This trend could prompt more small miners to abandon their operations, accelerating a consolidation in the market. Moreover, if energy prices stabilize at better rates or innovative energy solutions are developed, we might see a revival of personal mining, albeit at a reduced scale.
An intriguing parallel can be drawn with the early days of personal computing. Back in the 1980s, owning a computer was often impractical for everyday users due to high costs and limited capabilities, much like how mining with older ASICs is viewed today. Just as early adopters found ways to make personal computing work for themโcreating communities and forums for supportโtoday's miners are seeking innovative ways to maximize profitability. As personal computers eventually became ubiquitous, driven by technological advances and cost reductions, we may find similar opportunities in the crypto space. This transition could be slow, but the foundation of sustainable mining practices could reshape the future in unexpected ways.