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Examining long term risks of quantum computers on bitcoin

Quantum Computers | The Growing Debate Over Bitcoin's Safety

By

Maria Gonzalez

Mar 27, 2026, 12:41 AM

Updated

Mar 27, 2026, 06:33 PM

2 minutes reading time

A quantum computer looming over a Bitcoin symbol, showing the potential threat to Bitcoin security.

A rising debate surrounds the risks that quantum computers pose to Bitcoin, as people echo contrasting views. While some warn of impending danger, others present a more relaxed stance, suggesting that developments in quantum resistance may mitigate threats in due time.

Recent findings indicate that around 7 million BTC are stored in formats vulnerable to attacks from quantum machines executing Shor's algorithm. Most of these coins are kept in older P2PK addresses or reused wallets, raising critical security concerns.

Experts project that genuinely cryptographically relevant quantum machines won't be widespread for another 10-20 years. Meanwhile, advancements in quantum-resistant protocols like BIP 360 are underway. Yet, the risk of moving these older coins before a potential threat emerges adds urgency to the situation.

Perspectives on Quantum Threats

The community remains sharply divided on the implications of quantum computing for Bitcoin:

  • "If anything, Bitcoin is going to roll out the new algorithms quicker than banks."

  • "This isnโ€™t something to panic over, but we can't ignore it either."

  • "Current research emphasizes that the developers are on the right track with resistance algorithms."

This ongoing discourse highlights the contrasting views on urgency versus optimism within the crypto community.

Varying Views on Quantum Vulnerability

Some individuals dismiss the risks tied to quantum threats, arguing that they rely on theoretical assumptions about quantum computers. They claim existing quantum-resistant algorithms provide a feasible path forward. In their opinion, the cryptographic community is more prepared than critics believe. However, anxiety about the potential fallout remains prevalent among others who see a possible chaotic scenario of failing to migrate the outdated coins seamlessly across platforms.

"Google uses SHA-256 now, so theyโ€™d be in trouble too."

This shows a recognition that established entities might face similar vulnerabilities as Bitcoin.

Key Points to Consider

  • โš ๏ธ 7 million BTC are stored in vulnerable address formats.

  • ๐Ÿ” Experts affirm that a real threat is 10-20 years away.

  • โ†”๏ธ Migration strategies are vital to address potential risks.

As quantum technology continues to advance, discussions about Bitcoinโ€™s precautions will likely grow more intense. Many anticipate breakthroughs in quantum machines around 2035, which could compel a significant migration to more secure wallets and protocols. If migration challenges arenโ€™t addressed swiftly, a sudden quantum attack could disrupt Bitcoinโ€™s infrastructure, emphasizing the urgent need for proactive measures today.

Does History Repeat?

Reflecting on the tensions between technological fear and progress, one can draw parallels with the Industrial Revolution's impact. Just as mechanization sparked innovation in worker protections, the quantum computing threat might drive the crypto community to adopt innovative security measures that safeguard Bitcoin and enhance the broader cryptocurrency ecosystem.