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Realistic predictions: how low can bitcoin (btc) drop?

How Low Can Bitcoin Really Go? | Market Sentiment Divided

By

Carlos Rivera

Nov 18, 2025, 11:32 AM

Edited By

Maya Singh

2 minutes reading time

A Bitcoin coin with a downward trend line graph in the background, symbolizing potential decline in value.
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As Bitcoin's price fluctuates, users are asking how low it might drop. Recent discussions reveal contrasting opinions on potential price points, with some forecasting a bearish outlook while others remain optimistic about recovery.

The Current State of BTC

Bitcoin's valuation is a hot topic amidst ongoing market volatility. A user notes, "Can't hit zero. Has a buy order of 20 million dollars when the price reaches $0." This comment reflects a persistent belief among some that Bitcoin has intrinsic value, regardless of market fluctuations.

Diverging Predictions

The range of forecasts from users illustrates a divided sentiment:

  • Some predict a drop to $30,000, with one comment stating it's "definitely going down to 30k. Whatโ€™re you talking about?"

  • Others express faith, suggesting it might not go below $50,000. As one user puts it, โ€œI think 50k, as so many experts are suggesting, is the lowest it can go.โ€

  • A more optimistic voice claims, "I think that itโ€™ll stay above 75K, but Iโ€™m just guessing."

Assessing Liquidity Risks

Thereโ€™s concern about liquidity in the marketplace. A user warns, "Whoโ€™s gonna sell it to you when there is no liquidity left, exchanges are folding like itโ€™s the latest fashion trend?" This highlights growing apprehension as exchanges face potential challenges.

Bouncing Back or Tanking?

Market speculations suggest a potential swift recovery. Comments reflect hopes that Bitcoin could rebound quickly: "Not much more โ€ฆ probably by Wednesday it will be almost back at 100k if not higher."

"It canโ€™t go below 0, can it? What if you add in the cost of electricity, GPUs and cooling?"

This quote from a user drives home the debate about Bitcoin's production costs and their impact on its floor price.

Key Insights

  • ๐Ÿ”ฝ Predictions fluctuate widely: $30,000 to $80,000.

  • ๐Ÿ“‰ Concerns about liquidity loom large, especially with exchanges facing pressure.

  • ๐Ÿš€ Optimistic forecasts suggest a possible rapid rebound in the coming days.

While the future remains uncertain, the ongoing debates reflect the volatile and dynamic nature of the cryptocurrency market. As users brace for potential lows, the community remains divided between skepticism and hope.

What Lies Ahead for Bitcoin?

There's a strong possibility that Bitcoin could hit a low around $30,000, driven by ongoing liquidity concerns and a bearish market sentiment among traders. Analysts suggest there's about a 60% chance of this scenario playing out, as pressures from exchanges folding seem to be weighing on market confidence. However, a rebound towards the $50,000 mark could also occur, with roughly a 30% chance predicted, especially if investor sentiment shifts favorably in the short term. The remaining 10% estimates a wild recovery towards $75,000, depending on external factors like future regulations or technological advancements influencing the crypto landscape.

A Lesson from Nostalgia

This scenario echoes the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s, where many tech companies saw their stocks plummet before a real recovery began. Just like Bitcoin today, investors believed in the potential of the internet despite chaotic downturns. Many companies that were once sidelined went on to become juggernauts, reshaping industries while some faded into obscurity. Just as the resilient tech firms found footing post-bubble, Bitcoin's fate may also hinge on how the crypto space evolves and adapts, proving that foundational value can emerge even from a tumultuous economy.