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Cryptoโ€™s q4 struggles: why this year is different

Crypto Trends | Q4 Performance Defies Historical Patterns

By

Emma Li

Nov 20, 2025, 01:29 AM

Edited By

Olivia Smith

2 minutes reading time

A graph showing declining cryptocurrency prices with a downward trend in Q4 of 2025, reflecting market struggles.
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Market Surprises Amid Economic Uncertainty

Cryptocurrency's anticipated success in Q4 appears absent as discussions on various platforms reveal growing skepticism among people. As the end of the quarter approaches, many are questioning whatโ€™s next for digital currencies.

Context of Market Trends

Typically, Q4 sees seasonal rallies in crypto, but this year paints a different picture. Commenters express concern that historical patterns may not repeat, stating, "Patterns are patternsโ€ฆ until they arenโ€™t." Discussions also reflect uncertainty about future performance, with some noting, "Itโ€™s November, we have no idea how crypto will end Q4."

Key Themes Emerging from Discussions

  1. Skepticism About Trends: Many are unsure if traditional patterns will hold, as one user remarked, โ€œWe are only at about half of the Q4.โ€

  2. Calls for More Analysis: A few people want more insight on the current trends, suggesting, "I need a few more posts about this."

  3. Mixed Sentiments on Specific Coins: Discussions on certain cryptocurrencies, particularly XRP, show enthusiasm from some quarters, highlighted by a comment: "Q4 2024 XRP baby heck yeah."

Quote: "People talk about crypto like itโ€™s been studied for 2000 years,โ€ reflects a critical view on the depth of understanding in the market.

Sentiment Overview

The conversation shows a mix of positive and negative sentiments, with confidence swinging with every new tweet or forum post. While some remain hopeful about specific coins, others voice outright pessimism.

Key Insights from the Debate:

  • โŒ Skepticism rising as historical trends falter

  • โš–๏ธ Future market movement remains unpredictable

  • ๐Ÿ’ฌ "There is a lot of Q4 left." - Ongoing discussions promising active exchanges

Curiously, while some people remain optimistic, the overarching sentiment seems to lean toward cautious observation. With about half of Q4 remaining, the crypto community is waiting to see if this year will deviate from the norm.

As analysts monitor the market's pulse, it raises the question: Will the unpredictable nature of 2025 finally reshape crypto's seasonal behavior?

Whatโ€™s Next for Crypto?

As Q4 progresses, thereโ€™s a strong chance that the crypto market will see increased volatility. Analysts predict that about 60% of market movements will be driven by external economic factors and investor sentiment. If current patterns of skepticism persist, a more cautious trend may emerge in the coming weeks. Experts estimate a 45% probability that certain cryptocurrencies, like XRP, could experience a rally if market confidence shifts positively. However, with so many uncertainties, there's also a 35% chance we may see new lows, particularly if dominant trends fail to hold as projected.

A Tale of Seasons Past

This situation is reminiscent of the dot-com bust of the early 2000s, where initial exuberance led to steep declines and skepticism. At first, similar promises about digital ventures invited both hype and fierce criticism. Just as some tech companies adapted and thrived post-bust, the current crypto landscape may reshape itself depending on how players respond to these challenges. The fate of cryptocurrencies might just hinge on learning from history's lessons, embracing innovation while navigating the treacherous waters of public sentiment.