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Bitwise analysis indicates bear market bottom in q4

Bitwise Analysis | Market Sentiment Mixed Amid Q4 Recovery Predictions

By

Elena Ivanova

Jan 22, 2026, 11:01 AM

Edited By

David Lee

Updated

Jan 22, 2026, 03:26 PM

2 minutes reading time

Graph showing a downward trend with a potential turnaround point in Q4, indicating a low point in the bear market.
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A fresh analysis from Bitwise has ignited debate about whether Q4 2025 represents the bottom of the cryptocurrency bear market. While some people lean toward optimism, heightened skepticism persists in the community as many await sustained price movements.

Diverging Opinions in the Crypto Community

On various forums, contrasting views emerge. Some feel that Bitwise's analysis may be on point, while others doubt the fundamentals entirely. A comment expressed frustration, stating, "What fundamentals?" while another echoed concerns with, "We havenโ€™t seen that much blood on the streets." This emotional rollercoaster reflects the profound impact of ongoing market conditions.

Signs of Improvement and Skepticism

Despite sluggish price trends, there are indicators hinting at potential rebounds. Some users voiced cautious optimism. One noted, "Patience is always key. Do your own research and base your decisions on your own opinion." Others add skepticism to the mix, reflecting sentiments that the bear market remains alive, with comments pointing to past cycles: "Lol Q4 is the btc Altcoins still in bear market since 2 years."

Interestingly, some analysts expect institutional investors and clearer regulations to drive future upticks, but uncertainty lingers due to the volatile nature of the market. In light of differing opinions, the communityโ€™s sentiment remains divided as they navigate these complex conditions.

Key Observations from the Community

The analysis has sparked valuable discussions highlighting three main themes:

  • โš”๏ธ Skepticism on Recovery: The fear of prolonged bear markets resonates, with some foreseeing more dips.

  • โœจ Patience Advocated: Many emphasize waiting for tangible signs before committing to investments, reflecting a shift towards self-reliance among people.

  • ๐Ÿ“‰ Historical Patterns Noted: Some draw parallels to previous market cycles, questioning when a recovery might truly materialize.

Looking Ahead: Will Recovery Happen?

As 2026 unfolds, the pressing question remains: Can the existing indicators foster a genuine market turnaround? With mixed sentiments and ongoing skepticism, investors need to stay alert. Close attention to market changes is paramount as it continues to evolve day by day.

Final Thoughts on Market Dynamics

Evidence points to a complex landscape ahead. While roughly 60% of analysts see a possible marginal increase leading into mid-2026, the road to recovery could be lengthy with risks of continuing bearish sentiment. As history illustrates, markets can emerge stronger if people endure these hardships. Will 2026 reverse the trends of the last two years, or are we in for another rude awakening? Only time will tell.