Survey | 86% Predict Bitcoin Will Surpass $124K This Year
Edited By
Alice Tran
A recent survey conducted by CoinGecko reveals that a significant majority of participants—86.7%—believe Bitcoin will hit a new all-time high by the end of 2025. This optimistic outlook highlights the consensus among crypto enthusiasts, even as skepticism exists.
Breakdown of Predictions
According to the survey, four out of five in the crypto community expect Bitcoin's current record of $124,128 to be surpassed.
40.1% forecast a price range between $125,000 and $150,000.
20.3% predict new highs between $151,000 and $175,000.
Only 18.2% are betting on targets between $176,000 and $250,000.
A bold 8.1% of participants even think Bitcoin will soar above $251,000.
Conversely, 13.3% believe Bitcoin's price will remain stagnant at its current all-time high.
These insights reflect a diverse sentiment in the market, as comments from participants reveal mixed feelings. One individual remarked, "As fiat goes down indefinitely, Bitcoin will go up indefinitely," highlighting a positive sentiment.
Diverging Views in the Community
Interestingly, even among those who have never owned Bitcoin, 82.8% expect its price to rally. Out of 250 participants who indicated no holdings, 205 anticipated new record highs. Among ex-holders, 304 out of 365 remain bullish.
However, the survey drew some skepticism. Commenters on forums voiced their opinions:
"That survey means nothing."
Another user quipped, "So the bitcoin users polled think bitcoin will increase? Fascinating," which points to the mixed feelings on whether these predictions hold water.
Institutional Insights
Institutional forecasts paint a more aggressive picture, with companies like Bitget and VanEck estimating $180,000, while Fundstrat suggests it could be as much as $250,000 by year's end.
Key Takeaways
△ 86.7% of participants expect Bitcoin to exceed $124,128.
▽ 40.1% of respondents predict Bitcoin will reach between $125,000 to $150,000.
※ "As fiat goes down indefinitely, Bitcoin will go up indefinitely" - Bullish commenter.
🎯 82.8% of non-holders still anticipate price increases.
The survey underscores a prevailing optimism despite some participant skepticism. With less than four months left in the year, how will these predictions play out? The crypto community is watching closely.
Probabilities of Price Action Ahead
As we approach the end of 2025, a substantial portion of the crypto community holds a positive outlook for Bitcoin. Experts estimate around a 70% chance that Bitcoin will surpass its previous all-time high of $124,128. The belief that Bitcoin will benefit from a downturn in traditional fiat currencies supports this sentiment. With interest from institutional investors driving demand, predictions of $180,000 to $250,000 by year-end appear plausible, especially given the high expectations among non-holders. However, a cautious 20% of analysts foresee potential obstacles that could cap the price below current levels, indicating that market volatility will likely continue.
Historical Echoes of Price Eruptions
The current Bitcoin scenario is reminiscent of the early 1980s oil crisis when major market shifts turned the energy sector upside down. Just as many investors then expected an everlasting surge in oil prices amid geopolitical tensions, today’s crypto believers similarly rally around the idea that Bitcoin will remain a primary safe haven as economic pressures rise. This parallel highlights how market sentiments can transform, as both oil and Bitcoin showcase the influence of external factors, leading to dramatic price swings that defy conventional wisdom.