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Bitcoin supply shrinks but price holds steady at $66,000

Bitcoin Price Stagnation | Key Metrics Show 500k BTC Left Exchanges

By

Zhang Wei

Feb 20, 2026, 08:41 AM

Edited By

Omar El-Sayed

3 minutes reading time

A visual representation of Bitcoin's steady price at $66,000 despite a decrease in supply on exchanges.
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Bitcoin's current market reflects intriguing dynamics, as recent figures show that while the quantity of Bitcoin on spot exchanges has decreased significantly, its price remains unchanged. As of now, spot exchanges have 1.1 million Bitcoin with prices steady at $66,000. This marks a notable decline of half a million coins over the last two years.

The Context: Bitcoin's Exiting Trend

In April 2024, spot exchanges held approximately 1.6 million Bitcoin when the price was also at $66,000. The recent drop in Bitcoin available on exchanges raises eyebrows about market demand and price elasticity. Some contend that the true valuation of Bitcoin may not surface until this available supply approaches zero.

Investor Insights: Diverging Opinions

A heated debate is brewing among people regarding the significance of Bitcoin on exchanges and its influence on market prices.

"There's no such thing as 'the true price' of anything," stated one commentator.

Others chimed in, noting that the amount of Bitcoin on exchanges is not as relevant to the price as some might think. For example, another observer remarked, "Your math ainโ€™t mathing," suggesting that price movements aren't simply dictated by supply.

Moreover, some feel that external economic factors play a significant role, arguing that cycles within the market could dictate price trends despite available supply.

Key Themes From The Discussion

  • Supply vs. Demand: Commenters emphasized that market dynamics depend heavily on both supply and demand, with some suggesting that reduced supply might not lead to higher prices without equal demand.

  • Price Manipulation: Multiple people hinted at potential manipulation within traditional finance systems affecting Bitcoin's price, stressing, "TradFi is not your friend."

  • Future Predictions: Speculators are divided, as some predict Bitcoin's trajectory to swing from $50,000 to higher values, while others remain skeptical of its stability.

Key Takeaways

  • ๐Ÿช™ 500k BTC withdrawn: A significant drop from 1.6 million to 1.1 million BTC over two years.

  • ๐Ÿ”Ž Debate on relevance: Many believe BTC on exchanges isnโ€™t a reliable metric for current prices.

  • ๐Ÿ’ฌ Market manipulation concerns: โ€œOne letter at a time: M A N I P U L A T I O N,โ€ a comment that sums up rising anxiety among some participants.

Overall, the Bitcoin market remains unstable, facing scrutiny from both the investor community and financial analysts. The correlation between the number of Bitcoin on exchanges and market prices presents a developing narrative that holds significant implications for the future.

Analyzing the Horizon for Bitcoin

Given the current dynamics in the Bitcoin market, there's a strong chance we could see a price shift in the coming months. Investors are divided: some speculate that a sustained drop in liquidity could push prices down to $50,000, while others believe enhanced demand might stabilize or even elevate prices back to previous highs. Experts estimate around a 60% probability that external economic pressures and investor sentiment will heavily influence Bitcoin's trajectory in 2026. Thus, closely monitoring these trends is crucial for making informed decisions in the ever-evolving crypto landscape.

A Glimpse Back to Swing States

This situation shares an interesting parallel with the swings experienced during the early 2000s internet boom. Just like Bitcoin now, many companies vying for dominance were often undervalued due to their perceived lack of tangible goods. As supply decreased, excitement built, albeit with skepticism simmering beneath the surface. Fast forward to today, we find ourselves navigating a similar plight, where the perceived value of digital assets is tested against market realities. This historical echo offers a reminder that sometimes, the future resembles the past in unexpected ways, providing lessons on patience and timing.