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Santa rally fades as bitcoin dips following fed's hawkish move

Bitcoin Dips | Fed's Hawkish Move Signals Trouble Ahead

By

Leo Novak

Dec 12, 2025, 05:57 AM

2 minutes reading time

Graph showing Bitcoin price decline alongside a Santa hat, symbolizing the fading Santa rally
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Bitcoin has stumbled after the Federal Reserve's recent interest rate cut, described by many as a "hawkish cut." This turn of events raises doubts about the market's strength going into 2026, surprising many who expected a bullish trend.

What Happened?

Earlier this week, the Fed announced an interest rate cut, which typically boosts investor confidence. However, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell followed this with a conservative speech, warning of economic uncertainties and suggesting that rates might not dip below 3% for years. This contradiction has left many traders confused.

Comments from the Community

Many in the crypto space are sharply critical of the Fed's recent move, with reactions highlighting the divide in opinion:

  • "Crypto crashes on bad news and slips on good news. No pump. Just pain."

  • One commenter noted, "The speech they gave after was very conservative. = bad for the market."

The sentiment reflects a significant concern that despite the cut being viewed as positive, Powell's remarks indicate ongoing challenges ahead. Many believe that unless major changes are madeโ€”like a new Fed chairโ€”Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies might struggle to regain momentum.

"Cuts and tariffs are bad for inflation. Good luck with that strategy lol," remarked a frustrated member of the forum.

Market Reactions and Predictions

Investors are speculating about future rate decisions and how they might influence the crypto markets. Some believe the wait for a Bank of Japan rate hike will add further volatility:

  • "BTC is waiting for the BoJ rate hike decision. Itโ€™s going to chop until that happens."

The ongoing uncertainty fuels skepticism among traders. Many are questioning the reliability of both the Fed and the broader market. One user said, "Take what you think the markets are going to do. Now consider the exact opposite of that."

Key Takeaways

  • โ–ฝ The Fed's recent cut lacks confidence-boosting reassurance.

  • โšก "One extra vote to cut will likely only get one extra cut next year."

  • โ˜… Market remains jittery, waiting for more concrete signals.

Despite optimism earlier this year about a 'Santa rally' for Bitcoin, this latest downturn suggests that the crypto market may be entering a turbulent phase. As traders reflect on the Fed's mixed messages, many seem to brace for a rocky road ahead.

What Lies Ahead for Bitcoin?

Thereโ€™s a notable chance that Bitcoin will continue to face pressure in the short term as investors digest the Fedโ€™s cautious stance. Probabilities suggest about a 60% likelihood that rates could remain elevated for longer than anticipated, stifling market enthusiasm. With sentiment suggesting that traders might stay on the sidelines, the crypto sector could remain volatile until new, more favorable signals emerge. If inflation continues to bite and economic uncertainty deepens, some analysts estimate that Bitcoin could test lower support levels in the coming months, possibly falling between $25,000 and $30,000.

A Historical Glimpse

This situation echoes the 1994 bond market shock, where sudden interest rate hikes caught many investors off guard, triggering a sell-off. Like then, the current market faces a conundrum: bullish expectations clash with harsh realities. In both cases, analysts underestimated the Federal Reserveโ€™s impact on market confidence, leading to a wave of skepticism that persisted for years. Just as that bond market recalibration shifted investor behavior, today's crypto traders might have to rethink strategies, adapting to a new normal where traditional economic signals redefine risk in the digital asset space.