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Analyst predicts bitcoin plunge to $10 k amidst doubts

Bitcoin Analyst Predicts Plunge | BTC Expected to Hit $10K

By

Chloe Johnson

Feb 17, 2026, 01:51 AM

Edited By

Linda Wang

3 minutes reading time

An illustration showing a downward trend in Bitcoin's price with a digital coin image and negative financial indicators.
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A local analyst has sparked controversy with a bold prediction that Bitcoin (BTC) will drop by 80%, landing around $10,000. Citing the Greater Fool Theory, he argues that cryptoโ€™s survival hinges on profit from less informed buyers.

Analyst's Perspective: A Critical View on Bitcoin

During a recent segment on KTLA, the analyst stated, "Crypto has no intrinsic value, and its entire existence is a chain of greater fools." He dismissed years of BTCโ€™s growth, infrastructure developments, and institutional adoption as irrelevant trends that won't bring back higher prices.

This viewpoint ignited debate among local forums, with many challenging the notion that Bitcoinโ€™s future is solely determined by speculative behavior.

Division Among People: Responses and Rebuttals

Commentators had mixed reactions to the analyst's claims. Some felt skeptical, suggesting that BTC will maintain its value due to institutional backing and historical resilience. Comments included:

  • "He's right in a sense but Bitcoin does have its own value"

  • "I will buy 5 BTC, regardless of the risk."

  • "This guy's been saying this stuff for the past 12 years lol."

Conversely, varying perspectives emerged:

  • Some users expressed apathy toward their investments, citing loss as a minor concern, saying, "I consider my BTC to be thrown away money anyway."

  • Others questioned the analyst directly, challenging his rationale: "If itโ€™s all about fools, why do long-term holders refuse to sell during downturns?"

Themes of Uncertainty and Speculation

  1. Greater Fool Theory: Many discussions referred back to the notion of profits relying on less informed individualsโ€”"Bitcoin literally only survives off greater fool theory."

  2. Institutional Influence: Skeptics of the analyst's forecast argue institutions backing crypto, mentioning treasury allocations and liquidity cycles.

  3. Historical Resilience: An ongoing theme was Bitcoin's previous recovery from significant drawdownsโ€”"Every prior 70 - 80% drawdown eventually made new highs."

"His guess is as good as anyone elseโ€™s," one commenter noted, reflecting the ongoing uncertainty in the market.

Key Takeaways

  • โ–ณ 80% Drop Prediction: Local analyst suggests Bitcoin could plunge to $10K.

  • โ–ฝ Diverse Reactions: Commentary from bullish investors and skeptics on BTC's intrinsic value.

  • โ€ป "Institutions are holding, even during downturns" - Noted perspective from the community.

What's Next?

The current wave of predictions around Bitcoin adds fuel to the long-standing debate about its value in today's economy. Analysts and crypto enthusiasts are left pondering: will Bitcoin adapt and recover, or are these warnings a sign of deeper issues in the cryptocurrency market?

As the discussion continues, many eyes will remain fixed on BTCโ€™s performance in 2026, amidst the looming potential impact of varying market influences.

Forecasting the Crypto Frontier

Thereโ€™s a strong chance Bitcoin will face increased volatility as we move through 2026. Amidst ongoing uncertainty, analysts suggest a possible 40% chance that the digital currency could touch the $10,000 mark, especially if investor confidence continues to wane. Factors such as regulatory scrutiny and market sentiment will play a critical role in shaping BTCโ€™s trajectory. If institutional investors pull back or negative economic indicators emerge, the likelihood of a sharp decline increases, creating a precarious environment for crypto enthusiasts and traders alike. Meanwhile, historical trends show that recoveries after significant price drops can take time, further complicating the outlook.

Echoes of the Dot-Com Bubble

This scenario of wild price swings in cryptocurrency mirrors the late 1990s dot-com bubble, where tech stocks soared and fell with little grounding in fundamentals. Just as investors poured into internet companies based on speculation rather than tangible value, today's crypto market exhibits similar behaviorโ€”traders chasing profits while often ignoring inherent risks. The eventual crash of many dot-com firms serves as a reminder that unchecked speculation can lead to widespread losses, illustrating the delicate balance between innovation and market realism.