Edited By
Jessica Lin

A significant shift is happening in the Bitcoin market as long-term holders have reportedly stopped selling their assets for the first time since July 2025. This turn of events has sparked discussions among people questioning its impact on future price movements as the holiday season rolls in.
The holiday spirit seems to be playing a role in the change of behavior among Bitcoin holders. Some people are celebrating the festive season rather than making trades, hinting at a potential surge in activity when the new year arrives.
"It's the Christmas holidays, they are celebrating," a keen observer noted, suggesting holders might start selling again in January.
The sentiments in various user boards range from hope for price improvement to skepticism about the current market dynamics.
One commenter expressed optimism, asking, "can we go up now?"
However, others noted, "not selling != buying" and emphasized the distinction between the two actions.
An interesting reaction came from another person who stated, "real long term holders donโt sell," pointing to a division in perspectives about what it means to hold cryptocurrency long-term.
Some individuals remain focused on analyzing the market, with one user pointing out their discontent with the price action, stating, โDid they see the PA today? Yet another massive Monday dump.โ On the other hand, thereโs speculation about the criteria that define long-term holders.
Holiday Impact: Many are attributing the selling pause to the holiday festivities.
Price Concerns: Users show mixed feelings about whether the halt will stabilize or affect prices negatively.
Definition of Holding: The discourse around what constitutes a long-term holder has emerged, making waves in user discussions.
๐ค A notable shift as long-term holders reduce selling.
๐ซ "Not selling != buying" - Highlighting market disparity.
๐ Users speculate on holiday effects and pricing turmoil.
As 2025 draws to a close, the eyes of the cryptocurrency community remain fixated on how these trends will shape the market in the coming year.
As we approach the new year, there's a strong chance this pause in selling could lead to increased price volatility. Experts estimate around a 60% likelihood that Bitcoin could see a rebound in value as holders reassess their strategies post-holiday. However, if the current market climate doesn't shift positively, we might witness a sustained period of stagnation or even a downturn, reflecting a 40% chance. Many in the community are keenly watching for a potential breakout, which hinges on whether trading activity picks up alongside renewed interest in crypto investments early next year.
Reflecting on the 2003 housing market, where a significant pause in home sales led to an unpredictable surge in demand, we see a striking parallel. Just as homebuyers paused to celebrate the holidays and reassess their financial plans, Bitcoin holders have shifted their focus to festivities. Both scenarios illustrate how holiday vibes can influence market behaviors. As we learned then, a slowdown doesnโt always signal a downward trend but can signal a brewing resurgence when economic conditions align favorably.